The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of use is 0.05. What is the probability that out of 5 such bulbs
The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of use is 0.05. What is the probability that out of 5 such bulbs
(i) none
(ii) not more than one
(iii) more than one
(iv) at least one
will fuse after 150 days of use.
Let X represent the number of bulbs that will fuse after 150 days of use in an experiment of 5 trials. The trials are Bernoulli trials.
It is given that, p = 0.05
$\therefore q=1-p=1-0.05=0.95$
X has a binomial distribution with n = 5 and p = 0.05
$\therefore \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X}=x)={ }^{9} \mathrm{C}_{2} q^{x-x} p^{x}$, where $x=1,2, \ldots n$
$={ }^{5} \mathrm{C}_{x}(0.95)^{5-x} \cdot(0.05)^{x}$
(i) P (none) = P(X = 0)
$={ }^{5} \mathrm{C}_{0}(0.95)^{5} \cdot(0.05)^{0}$
$=1 \times(0.95)^{5}$
$=(0.95)^{5}$
(ii) P (not more than one) = P(X ≤ 1)
$=\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X}=0)+\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X}=1)$
$={ }^{5} \mathrm{C}_{0}(0.95)^{5} \times(0.05)^{0}+{ }^{5} \mathrm{C}_{1}(0.95)^{4} \times(0.05)^{1}$
$=1 \times(0.95)^{5}+5 \times(0.95)^{4} \times(0.05)$
$=(0.95)^{5}+(0.25)(0.95)^{4}$
$=(0.95)^{4}[0.95+0.25]$
$=(0.95)^{4} \times 1.2$
(iii) P (more than 1) = P(X > 1)
$=1-P(X \leq 1)$
$=1-P($ not more than 1$)$
$=1-(0.95)^{4} \times 1.2$
(iv) P (at least one) = P(X ≥ 1)
$=1-\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X}<1)$
$=1-\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{X}=0)$
$=1-{ }^{5} \mathrm{C}_{0}(0.95)^{5} \times(0.05)^{0}$
$=1-1 \times(0.95)^{5}$
$=1-(0.95)^{5}$